Tag: Sydney 2017

Sydney 2017 Stats

Standard stats tables for Sydney. What a difference from Wellington for Russia and Scotland. Excellent ruck and penalty work for the Russians.

Adjusted Rates

Team Adj Try Rate Opponent Adj Try Rate Adj Gather Rate Opponent Adj Gather Rate Adj Margin
South Africa 0.54 0.22 0.89 0.89 15.46
England 0.45 0.27 0.91 0.77 13.36
Fiji 0.67 0.44 0.93 0.84 13.14
New Zealand 0.40 0.20 0.96 0.75 10.48
Australia 0.50 0.37 0.88 0.88 5.34
Russia 0.40 0.25 0.82 0.90 5.03
USA 0.44 0.43 0.86 0.79 1.98
Argentina 0.50 0.39 0.64 0.95 -1.89
Wales 0.16 0.26 0.91 0.86 -4.12
Kenya 0.24 0.33 0.83 0.89 -4.69
Canada 0.33 0.43 0.76 0.82 -5.06
Samoa 0.28 0.43 0.78 0.83 -6.60
France 0.22 0.40 0.88 0.79 -7.70
Japan 0.22 0.40 0.80 0.91 -8.46
Scotland 0.27 0.58 0.95 0.81 -11.24
Papua New Guinea 0.17 0.52 0.78 0.87 -18.12

Possession

Team Games Opps Opp Rate Gathers Gather Rate
Argentina 5 42 8.40 26 0.62
Australia 6 53 8.83 45 0.85
Canada 6 59 9.83 47 0.80
England 6 50 8.33 47 0.94
Fiji 6 46 7.67 42 0.91
France 6 48 8.00 44 0.92
Japan 5 47 9.40 37 0.79
Kenya 6 53 8.83 44 0.83
New Zealand 6 47 7.83 45 0.96
Papua New Guinea 5 44 8.80 32 0.73
South Africa 6 51 8.50 45 0.88
Russia 6 49 8.17 40 0.82
Samoa 5 39 7.80 30 0.77
Scotland 5 41 8.20 39 0.95
USA 6 50 8.33 44 0.88
Wales 5 46 9.20 42 0.91

Scoring

Team Tries Try Rate Con Atmpts Cons Con Rate
Argentina 13 0.50 13 9 0.69
Australia 21 0.47 20 14 0.70
Canada 16 0.34 16 9 0.56
England 18 0.38 18 15 0.83
Fiji 28 0.67 28 21 0.75
France 12 0.27 12 6 0.50
Japan 7 0.19 7 4 0.57
Kenya 10 0.23 10 5 0.50
New Zealand 21 0.47 21 12 0.57
Papua New Guinea 8 0.25 8 3 0.38
South Africa 23 0.51 23 13 0.57
Russia 17 0.42 17 9 0.53
Samoa 8 0.27 8 7 0.88
Scotland 11 0.28 11 10 0.91
USA 18 0.41 18 9 0.50
Wales 9 0.21 9 7 0.78

Opponent Possession

Team Games Opponent Opps Opponent Opp Rate Opponent Gathers Opponent Gather Rate
Argentina 5 41 8.20 39 0.95
Australia 6 50 8.33 47 0.94
Canada 6 59 9.83 45 0.76
England 6 51 8.50 39 0.76
Fiji 6 44 7.33 36 0.82
France 6 42 7.00 32 0.76
Japan 5 48 9.60 44 0.92
Kenya 6 52 8.67 47 0.90
New Zealand 6 41 6.83 33 0.80
Papua New Guinea 5 38 7.60 34 0.89
South Africa 6 49 8.17 44 0.90
Russia 6 48 8.00 40 0.83
Samoa 5 42 8.40 37 0.88
Scotland 5 40 8.00 32 0.80
USA 6 52 8.67 40 0.77
Wales 5 37 7.40 32 0.86

Opponent Scoring

Team Opponent Tries Opponent Try Rate Opponent Con Atmpts Opponent Cons Opponent Con Rate
Argentina 19 0.49 19 11 0.58
Australia 16 0.34 16 11 0.69
Canada 17 0.38 17 7 0.41
England 12 0.31 12 6 0.50
Fiji 14 0.39 14 11 0.79
France 13 0.41 13 11 0.85
Japan 17 0.39 17 8 0.47
Kenya 15 0.32 15 9 0.60
New Zealand 10 0.30 9 8 0.89
Papua New Guinea 16 0.47 16 11 0.69
South Africa 10 0.23 10 7 0.70
Russia 9 0.22 9 6 0.67
Samoa 15 0.41 15 10 0.67
Scotland 17 0.53 17 12 0.71
USA 19 0.48 19 12 0.63
Wales 11 0.34 11 6 0.55

Passing

Team Passes Errors Err Rate Opponent Passes Opponent Errors Opponent Err Rate
Argentina 125 4.0 3.2% 205 10.0 4.9%
Australia 197 10.0 5.1% 232 14.0 6.0%
Canada 216 13.0 6.0% 259 14.0 5.4%
England 256 11.0 4.3% 179 11.0 6.1%
Fiji 189 11.0 5.8% 210 10.0 4.8%
France 259 12.0 4.6% 144 13.0 9.0%
Japan 133 16.0 12.0% 198 9.0 4.5%
Kenya 183 16.0 8.7% 250 12.0 4.8%
New Zealand 238 11.0 4.6% 189 8.0 4.2%
Papua New Guinea 177 15.0 8.5% 164 11.0 6.7%
South Africa 142 9.0 6.3% 196 15.0 7.7%
Russia 278 12.0 4.3% 147 14.0 9.5%
Samoa 102 10.0 9.8% 234 10.0 4.3%
Scotland 216 7.0 3.2% 128 13.0 10.2%
USA 234 17.0 7.3% 145 6.0 4.1%
Wales 245 13.0 5.3% 127 9.0 7.1%

Penalties and Cards

Team Penalties Against Yellow Cards Red Cards Opponent Penalties Opponent Yellow Cards Opponent Red Cards
Argentina 13 0 0 14 2 0
Australia 23 3 0 25 3 0
Canada 18 2 0 11 0 0
England 19 2 0 22 0 0
Fiji 19 3 0 18 1 0
France 21 1 0 16 3 0
Japan 14 1 0 18 2 0
Kenya 23 1 0 20 1 0
New Zealand 16 2 0 16 2 0
Papua New Guinea 13 3 0 14 1 0
South Africa 25 0 0 15 3 0
Russia 9 0 0 26 1 0
Samoa 18 2 0 13 0 0
Scotland 13 1 0 13 1 0
USA 12 1 0 11 0 0
Wales 14 0 0 14 2 0

Defensive Contact

Team Contact Opps D Successes D Failures Offloads D Success Rate
Argentina 139 67 35 37 48.2%
Australia 147 84 32 31 57.1%
Canada 129 73 23 33 56.6%
England 110 68 23 19 61.8%
Fiji 136 72 37 27 52.9%
France 81 48 20 13 59.3%
Japan 127 71 35 21 55.9%
Kenya 118 81 24 13 68.6%
New Zealand 108 68 22 18 63.0%
Papua New Guinea 117 51 45 21 43.6%
South Africa 128 78 26 24 60.9%
Russia 81 55 14 12 67.9%
Samoa 135 66 34 35 48.9%
Scotland 69 44 16 9 63.8%
USA 101 54 30 17 53.5%
Wales 63 30 14 19 47.6%

Offensive Contact

Team Contact Opps D Successes D Failures Offloads D Success Rate
Argentina 83 47 20 16 56.6%
Australia 128 83 29 16 64.8%
Canada 151 78 42 31 51.7%
England 114 66 30 18 57.9%
Fiji 115 40 33 42 34.8%
France 173 99 44 30 57.2%
Japan 74 44 14 16 59.5%
Kenya 135 80 26 29 59.3%
New Zealand 138 81 30 27 58.7%
Papua New Guinea 87 44 20 23 50.6%
South Africa 95 52 35 8 54.7%
Russia 164 115 30 19 70.1%
Samoa 48 31 9 8 64.6%
Scotland 132 74 36 22 56.1%
USA 117 56 26 35 47.9%
Wales 138 82 31 25 59.4%

Scrums

Team Scrums Wins Win % Opp Scrums Wins Win %
Argentina 7 7 100.0% 11 0 0.0%
Australia 8 7 87.5% 3 0 0.0%
Canada 13 13 100.0% 8 1 12.5%
England 13 11 84.6% 13 0 0.0%
Fiji 11 11 100.0% 9 0 0.0%
France 9 8 88.9% 6 1 16.7%
Japan 9 8 88.9% 11 2 18.2%
Kenya 8 8 100.0% 13 1 7.7%
New Zealand 6 6 100.0% 13 2 15.4%
Papua New Guinea 7 7 100.0% 3 0 0.0%
South Africa 12 10 83.3% 7 1 14.3%
Russia 11 10 90.9% 11 0 0.0%
Samoa 7 6 85.7% 12 1 8.3%
Scotland 12 12 100.0% 3 0 0.0%
USA 8 8 100.0% 13 0 0.0%
Wales 9 9 100.0% 7 0 0.0%

Lineouts

Team Lineouts Wins Win % Opp Lineouts Wins Win %
Argentina 7 6 85.7% 8 1 12.5%
Australia 13 9 69.2% 2 1 50.0%
Canada 7 6 85.7% 12 5 41.7%
England 4 4 100.0% 5 3 60.0%
Fiji 3 1 33.3% 4 1 25.0%
France 11 11 100.0% 10 4 40.0%
Japan 13 9 69.2% 5 0 0.0%
Kenya 4 4 100.0% 5 0 0.0%
New Zealand 6 4 66.7% 2 1 50.0%
Papua New Guinea 3 1 33.3% 8 1 12.5%
South Africa 5 4 80.0% 13 1 7.7%
Russia 19 16 84.2% 8 1 12.5%
Samoa 5 4 80.0% 6 0 0.0%
Scotland 1 1 100.0% 5 0 0.0%
USA 9 7 77.8% 10 2 20.0%
Wales 3 2 66.7% 5 3 60.0%

Receiving Kickoffs

Team Kickoffs Opp KO Errors Wins (w/o Errors) Win % (w/o Errors)
Argentina 20 0 8 40.0%
Australia 20 1 15 78.9%
Canada 20 0 9 45.0%
England 14 0 13 92.9%
Fiji 17 0 15 88.2%
France 16 1 12 80.0%
Japan 17 1 9 56.2%
Kenya 18 0 9 50.0%
New Zealand 14 1 11 84.6%
Papua New Guinea 23 2 10 47.6%
South Africa 14 2 9 75.0%
Russia 12 1 7 63.6%
Samoa 17 0 9 52.9%
Scotland 19 2 15 88.2%
USA 19 1 13 72.2%
Wales 16 1 11 73.3%

Kickoffs

Team Kickoffs Errors Wins Win % (w/ Errors)
Argentina 12 0 2 16.7
Australia 22 3 3 13.6
Canada 17 1 6 35.3
England 20 2 10 50.0
Fiji 28 1 8 28.6
France 13 0 7 53.8
Japan 10 2 2 20.0
Kenya 14 0 4 28.6
New Zealand 19 1 4 21.1
Papua New Guinea 9 0 2 22.2
South Africa 24 0 3 12.5
Russia 17 0 6 35.3
Samoa 13 1 4 30.8
Scotland 14 1 8 57.1
USA 22 1 12 54.5
Wales 11 0 4 36.4

Rucks

Team Rucks Wins Win % Opp Rucks Wins Win %
Argentina 38 31 81.6% 55 4 7.3%
Australia 65 56 86.2% 67 12 17.9%
Canada 60 52 86.7% 55 5 9.1%
England 55 48 87.3% 54 8 14.8%
Fiji 23 21 91.3% 58 7 12.1%
France 82 69 84.1% 34 1 2.9%
Japan 32 26 81.2% 58 8 13.8%
Kenya 62 51 82.3% 64 14 21.9%
New Zealand 62 56 90.3% 56 10 17.9%
Papua New Guinea 23 18 78.3% 39 4 10.3%
South Africa 43 35 81.4% 65 7 10.8%
Russia 98 95 96.9% 41 12 29.3%
Samoa 27 19 70.4% 48 8 16.7%
Scotland 59 43 72.9% 30 4 13.3%
USA 43 39 90.7% 44 9 20.5%
Wales 61 51 83.6% 22 7 31.8%

Breaks

Team Breaks Half Breaks Opponent Breaks Opponent Half Breaks
Argentina 14 13 26 5
Australia 17 8 16 17
Canada 21 12 18 6
England 24 3 16 10
Fiji 31 4 16 18
France 12 18 14 7
Japan 9 3 20 6
Kenya 15 13 16 12
New Zealand 17 17 15 7
Papua New Guinea 16 9 15 6
South Africa 21 6 15 12
Russia 18 11 10 16
Samoa 7 7 18 11
Scotland 14 9 13 7
USA 23 15 22 8
Wales 15 13 14 4

Sydney 2017 Pool Predictions

Last week’s Wellington predictions were foiled by Canada’s surprise pool win and USA’s not-as-surprising 1-1-1 pool record. This week they find themselves together in possibly the tightest pool, Pool D. No team has a greater than 50% chance to come out on top.

Pool C is also tight. Australia, who I still rate in the top 8, may miss the quarter-finals again due to a difficult pool. New Zealand should keep their quarter-final streak alive while PNG is clearly set for the Challenge rounds on day 2.

Pool B has a tight contest for second between France and Wales while it also features the best 4th place team in Samoa. Meanwhile, Pool A should be dominated by two of the top three teams on the series, South Africa and England.

Pool A

Team Pool Win % Quarter-Final %
South Africa 87.8 % 99.5 %
England 11.5 % 83.7 %
Kenya 0.6 % 16.6 %
Japan 0.0 % 0.1 %

Pool B

Team Pool Win % Quarter-Final %
Fiji 84.1 % 97.0 %
France 9.2 % 52.7 %
Wales 4.9 % 35.0 %
Samoa 1.7 % 15.3 %

Pool C

Team Pool Win % Quarter-Final %
New Zealand 51.2 % 81.6 %
Scotland 24.6 % 61.7 %
Australia 24.2 % 56.7 %
PNG 0.0 % 0.0 %

Pool D

Team Pool Win % Quarter-Final %
USA 46.1 % 81.0 %
Argentina 41.9 % 78.3 %
Canada 12.0 % 40.0 %
Russia 0.0 % 0.7 %